Summer 2025 - The end of spring 2026: The most pronounced periods of the foreseeable geopolitical future

Introduction

• Summer 2025 marks the beginning of an overt period of change in all its diversity and exoticism.
• Briefly about Trump and more about Macron’s prospects as a projection of the future trajectory of the Western world.
• Ursula von der Leyen: prospects.
• Russia, its future in the context of the indicated periods, its prospects and role.
• Prospects for the Western world: where and how events will unfold.
• A little about Germany and Friedrich Merz’s prospects.
• The main focus of the time of the turning point in the global geopolitical narrative.

Main Forecast

For now, I would like to divide the time into the main periods that will be experienced throughout almost all of 2025, or rather, until the summer of 2026.

For now, this will be a rough outline, but over time I will be able to and will examine it in greater detail.

So, the beginning of the overt period of change is the summer of 2025, almost until the end of August. This will be a period of active renewal in all spheres of life. Of course, first and foremost, this means a renewal of the geopolitical environment, a shift in all priorities. A difficult time for the Western world. The arrival of new technologies, a new view of space and artificial intelligence, the advancement of entirely new economic directions, the first attempts to renew information platforms and technologies, including in the field of telecommunications. The first attempts to change the state of affairs in sports and education. The theme of an honest look at history, a return to roots and traditions—this trend will also be observed everywhere. Overall, the first steps toward a breakthrough into a new reality. And unusual changes connected with Russia, especially in July 2025, may become the first signs and a hint of inevitable radical changes in the world, in which Russia will position itself in an entirely new role. Friendliness, an orientation toward partnership, managerial alternatives, financial innovations, technical renewal in key areas. America, meanwhile, may completely break its former partnership relations and surprise with exotic moves in diplomacy, as if completely abolishing the previous rules of interaction. Trump will surprise with his new projects, while Macron will lose himself and control, increasingly feeling blocked in his ability to influence the situation. His state of affairs will be like in that famous Russian joke: Stierlitz had never been so close to failure. In mid-July 2025, at the end of October 2025 the storm in his life will be powerful. But what is there to say, already on 09/21/25 there will be a Solar Eclipse, further emphasizing his imminent political and simply human downfall. Fate will seek ways to create a program for him leading to his end. One cannot expect reasonableness from Macron. And he may suffer such blows of fate as, for example, in February 2026, after which it will be very difficult to speak of any political or other prospects. Naturally, there is no reason to expect that his political outbursts may take on even a somewhat peaceful or reasonable character.

And the serious inspirer of all military ideas and the riskiest schemes for saving herself and the former political concept will be Ursula von der Leyen. She will clearly continue imposing her aggressive, war-pushing policy. The end of July and the end of December 2025 will make this scenario of her actions particularly obvious. In cunning arrangements at the end of May 2025 and the beginning of October 2025, the dirtiest methods will be used. It may seem that she is unsinkable. But almost a year later (in 2026, during the transition from spring to summer), closer to the beginning of June 2026, her end may come as well. At the very least, she will be in great danger and on the verge of a career collapse. And here, of course, there are many factors suggesting that by late spring 2026, a final turn in history may occur, connected with the fall of the former elites and the previous architecture of geopolitical power.

Russia will change as well. Summer 2025 will create reasons for this somewhat unique and unexpected transformation. These flashes may be observed repeatedly, as if laying the foundation for the most unprecedented changes. To say that this will be easy—of course not. At certain moments, the situation may seem literally uncontrollable, such as around July 21, 2025, and October 23, 2025. I do not rule out that it will look as though the ground is slipping from beneath Russia’s feet. And the positions regarding new territories that Russia may claim will not yet be the final outcome of the situation that many may view as the definitive solution. In addition, serious upheavals may occur at key leadership positions during these times. Moreover, whatever decisions are made, in some unprecedented way Russia will acquire an entirely different geopolitical status, even in terms of forming a new alliance configuration. That is, new forms of alliance will be modeled as new geopolitical conglomerates, where Russia will be the leading architect of these geopolitical structures, likely based on new principles of relations. In addition, an incredible impetus with regard to the most advanced technologies will be given precisely in the Russian segment. One gets the impression that all the loud statements about the West’s technological progress are merely manipulative rhetoric. Whereas Russia, quietly but genuinely, is moving forward in technology in an unprecedentedly groundbreaking way. This may be part of grand transformations in financial models, the information environment, telecommunications, space, and beyond. But the main thing is that these will be the first and very important steps toward liberation from the former constraints into which Russia had previously been driven. As I have already made clear, this will not be easy, but these events will be epoch-making in scale. And yes, the results of all these transformations of the geopolitical landscape will become clear and take on a more defined character by late spring 2026. For now, however, many issues—both domestic and foreign policy—may be unstable and revised several times, approximately around August 20, 2025, September 7, 2025, and September 29, 2025. These will be karmic, that is, irreversible corrections in matters concerning Russia’s leadership team and the formation of some kind of alliance of countries around Russia. And of course, at the end of August – at the beginning of September 2025, strong pressure will be exerted on Russia, both economically and in the area of territorial claims. And the situation will escalate. And it is very likely that after September 21, 2025, Russia will begin to acquire a new political status. The expansion of Russia’s borders is inevitable, and this will already be evident at that time. Yes, it is very possible that the main inspirer of the struggle for the old world (Ursula von der Leyen) will seek to press forward as much as possible and continue aggressive attacks on Russia. But some signal of the collapse of the Western forces opposing Russia, embodied by Macron, like a barometer needle, will point to the powerlessness and prerequisites for the complete collapse of the former Western core of elites. It is very possible that Macron will also have difficulties with his current so-called like-minded allies.

By the way, I do not rule out that Germany, or rather its leadership, may already from August 2025 pursue a particularly sharply aggressive militarized policy toward Russia, while itself being on the verge of its own destruction. Interestingly, the West’s pressure on Russia will seem to be constructed in contrast to the West’s own most severe crisis and that of nearly every leader advocating ideas opposed to Russia. In particular, the position of Friedrich Merz, for example, appears exceptionally precarious, yet as if in contrast to this, he will desperately strive for an aggressive stance toward Russia. And apparently, pressure on Russia may be very powerful in December 2025.

But fateful February 2026 will begin putting everything in its… new places!!!

That is, the model of the world will change dramatically in spring 2026 after the very dramatic events of February 2026.