A powerful crisis and a change in the head of state in Lithuania
Forecast: Live broadcast of Svetlana Dragan on February 22, 2026, link.
S. Dragan:
I see a very powerful crisis in the Baltic republics. Specifically, I'm writing about Lithuania. It seems that a new direction is beginning to take shape, and even a change in leadership. This is very evident in the country's top person... There will be a year of some sort of decline in power...
Forecast: "Iran - an interference of events and a forecast of a broader spectrum for the near future" (published on March 6, 2026, link).
S. Dragan:
A powerful crisis appears to be unfolding in Lithuania. It is already beginning. There is an impression that a shift is taking place from the previous course and even the leadership... High tension in Lithuania...
The President of Lithuania, apparently, is also in a very difficult position. This could become particularly evident by the end of July 2026... Indeed, similar preconditions may arise in March 2026, around March 19-27...
A series of factors in 2026 point to a "powerful crisis in the Baltic republics", including "high tension in Lithuania".
If Lithuania's authorities do not begin to address demographic problems, the Lithuanian nation will cease to exist within 50-80 years, stated March 19, 2026 President of the Baltic republic, Gitanas Nauseda. That is, similar preconditions (problems for the President of Lithuania leading to the complete degradation of the country) were already present in March 2026, around March 19-27.
Gitanas Nauseda emphasized that the leadership of the Baltic republic should use all available tools to at least partially improve the situation. But no one knows these tools and doesn't use them…
The situation in the Baltic republics will significantly worsen against the backdrop of energy and logistics crises in the spring and summer of this year, but this will be the subject of separate confirmations.
«In Lithuania… a vector has been set to change the previous course and even change the head of state…». «There will be some kind of decline in power for a whole year…».
At the end of June this year, the Lithuanian Cabinet of Ministers, led by Prime Minister Inga Ragause, resigned.
According to Ruginene, her successor as Prime Minister will be Mindaugas Sinkevicius, leader of Lithuania's Social Democratic Party - he has agreed to become the new Prime Minister.
In her farewell speech, Ruginene reminded that under her government, defense spending was increased to a "record 5.38% of GDP" and "for the first time in 30 years, a full-fledged national development bank" was established.
She linked her departure and the government's resignation to "crisis situations", citing incidents such as balloon smuggling across the border, drone intrusions, and a hack on the Registry Center, which manages all citizens' records and databases in the country. Earlier, Lithuania's authorities had taken shelter in a bunker due to a threat from a drone. And this in a country that is neither de jure nor de facto at war with anyone.
"Many people, perhaps, were concerned that I didn't conform to the established stereotype of what a Prime Minister should be, how they should speak, how they should behave, or how they should look. But I never believed that a leader should be shaped according to someone else's pre-prepared template," Ruginene shared.
She stated that upon her departure, she returns to "work related to human life, their cares, their dignity, and their opportunities," and hands over the reins of government to "reliable hands."
Skinkavicius became the third Lithuanian prime minister since the 2024 autumn elections. The resignation of Rugineny, who took the post less than a year ago, occurred amid a coalition crisis, during which the ruling Social Democratic Party decided to change its partner - from "Zari Nemanas" to "For Lithuania." With the changes in the coalition composition, the cabinet of ministers also changed.
The President of Lithuania has clear personnel problems with appointing government officials, which "became particularly evident in late July 2026...". Accordingly, "the President of Lithuania is obviously also very unhappy" due to the government's problems.
The transfer of government leadership to "trustworthy hands", as declared by Inga Ruginene, did not happen.
In early July of this year, while the ink was still wet on the President's signature appointing Skverius as Prime Minister of Lithuania, a thunderclap rocked the new government's head. The media published sensitive information about how Skverius had "made a profit" from a land plot worth around 40 thousand euros.
Lithuania's Prime Minister Gintautas Paluckas is stepping down amid a corruption scandal, President Gitanas Nauseda told journalists on July 31st.
“Today’s news is that this morning, Gintautas Paluckas called me and announced his resignation,” Delfi quotes him as saying.
Nauseda assured that there will be no fundamental changes in the government's policy after the resignation of the 45-year-old prime minister. The Lithuanian president clarified that he does not consider Paluckas' decision to step down as "too late."
"I gave him time to first think humanely, to assess all circumstances. I believe he made the only correct decision, he took advantage of this opportunity. I congratulate him on this decision," added the president of Lithuania.
Paluckas will not only leave his post as prime minister but also as the chair of the Social Democratic Party of Lithuania (SDP).
On July 24 of this year, Nauseda gave the prime minister two weeks to make a decision about his political future. In response, Paluckas warned that his potential resignation would have consequences not only for him but for the entire ruling coalition and government.
The reason for Paluckas' departure from his post as prime minister of the Baltic republic was the recent news that Dankora, a company founded by his niece Virginia Paluckene, received European funding. The main part of the €173,000 was used to purchase products from Garnis, partially owned by the prime minister, according to LRT (Lithuanian National Radio and Television).
It was this information that Nauseda took the most seriously, advisor to the president Frederikss Jansons clarified.
"The plot, which has become public, for the first time tells about events that took place even when Mr. Gintautas Paluckas held the position of prime minister," he said.
The prime minister, in his defense, stated that he was not involved in the company's activities, so this information came as a "great surprise" to him.
He called the accusations against him "a major attack from political opponents."
Errors in personnel policy in Lithuania are becoming serious political losses, and for the Lithuanian president, this became "...particularly evident at the end of July 2026."
In the midst of an executive crisis, constant Russophobia, and military hysteria, Lithuania is also facing concerns about its security as a member of the NATO military bloc.
Uncertainty about the future presence of the thousands of American military personnel with heavy armor in Lithuania is growing. The US mechanized battalion, deployed on a rotating basis since 2019, left Lithuanian territory at the beginning of summer, and no replacement has arrived yet.
No specific information about the timeline and size of the new unit in Lithuania has been received from the White House and Pentagon. The Americans' silence is causing concern among the country's leadership and creating "a lot of tension in Lithuania."
S. Dragan predicts:
The President of Lithuania apparently is not very happy either. This could become especially apparent... in December 2026...
(More on the topic to follow)
