Desperate Power Struggle. July 2026 (Part 2)

Forecast: Global Human Forecast for July 2026 (Published June 28, 2026, link)

S. Dragan:

We have reached the threshold of the beginning of extremely significant changes, globally speaking. A month that could intensify many circumstances and tie together, like a single knot, all the hot plots on whose resolution many secretly hoped. But July 2026 will add fuel to the fire with the sharpest events, a very desperate power struggle, adding other complexities to this spicy dish...

"July 2026 added fuel to the fire with the sharpest events, a very desperate power struggle" in many countries.

The peculiarities of the power struggle within the Kiev dictatorship were discussed in Part 1 of the Confirmation from August 11, 2026. No less "hot plots" are unfolding in European countries.

In the UK, they changed the Prime Minister in July.

Reasons for Keir Starmer's resignation as the Prime Minister of the UK include:

• Disappointing Labour results in the local elections on May 7. Labour lost control of the Welsh Parliament and saw a decrease of approximately 1,400 representatives in county and municipal councils across England compared to previous elections.

• Resignations of key ministers - Defence Secretary John Healey and Armed Forces Minister Al Cranes - over disagreements regarding funding.
• Andy Burnham's victory in the by-election on June 18. According to Bloomberg, he received support from over 200 Labour MPs, far exceeding the required threshold.

• Decline in ratings for the Labour Party and Keir Starmer. This is attributed to the failure of migration policy and rising prices, as well as the scandal surrounding Peter Mandelson, whom the British Prime Minister appointed as the UK's ambassador to the US despite his connections to financier Jeffrey Epstein.

• Loss of trust from the parliamentary faction of the Labour Party and members of the cabinet. Parliamentarians threatened to begin the process of electing a new Labour Party leader, while ministers threatened to resign.

Former Mayor of Greater Manchester Andy Burnham took office as Prime Minister on July 20, becoming the seventh Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 10 years. One of the key issues in the country, he named tackling homelessness. He centered his policy on improving the quality of life for Britons through the construction of a new economy.

British Prime Minister Andy Burnham went on vacation two weeks after taking office. The Telegraph reports this. According to government sources, he will spend time with his family but will remain in touch with the cabinet ministers.

Downing Street did not specify the duration or destination of the trip. The decision to take a vacation in August is traditional for British leaders due to parliamentary recess.

Mr. Burnham's early vacation sparked criticism from the opposition, notes The Telegraph. Lee Anderson, chair of the Reform UK party, accused him of taking a casual approach to governing the country and "running away" during the migration crisis. "This is not the behavior of a Prime Minister seriously intent on leading the country," he stated.

The anomalous heat in July 2026 further exacerbated the political crisis in Germany. The resignation of Chancellor Friedrich Merz is virtually certain. He will become the second ally of Kyiv to step down, following British Prime Minister Keir Starmer.

A palace coup is brewing in Germany. The publication Der Spiegel has learned of a plot by German elites against their own chancellor - several regional premiers from the CDU could simultaneously propose to Friedrich Merz to voluntarily resign "in the interests of the country and the future."

"No one believes the chancellor has a future", Spiegel writes.

Previously, such talks were considered political gossip, but now everything is public. A Die Welt commentator compares the mood within the ruling party to the final days of the GDR.

"The question is no longer whether this chancellorship will end, but when. The mood there is truly dire. I was told it reminds them of the politburo in August 1989. For some, the only question is when and how to put an end to this nightmare", said political commentator for Die Welt, Mark Felix Serrao.

All of this occurs against the backdrop of a rapid decline in approval ratings. According to a poll, 57% of Germans no longer believe the current coalition will even make it to the next Bundestag elections.

The sunset of chancellorship comes just one year after Merz took power. The promised economic surge never materialized, reforms are stalled, and German industry is suffering from high energy costs. Ahead of another challenging winter, Berlin is forced to prepare a state gas reserve, costing up to 1.5 billion euros, once again at the expense of consumers.

And who else is capable of footing the bill? The country has 3 million unemployed, mass layoffs are underway. People are left with no choice but to take to the streets. Anti-government demonstrations chant: "We're not afraid of Putin, we're afraid of you!"

"The overwhelming majority of Germans no longer want to support Kyiv - neither financially, nor materially, nor militarily. People in Germany are really suffering: they are losing their jobs, closing their businesses, facing high inflation due to the energy crisis.", said political scientist Ralph Niemeyer.

French President Emmanuel Macron is facing an unprecedented drop in public trust. According to the latest survey (as of July 1, 2026), conducted by research company Elabe for the Echos publication, an overwhelming majority of the population no longer sees him as an effective leader.

According to the data presented, only 23% of French people believe in the head of state's ability to solve France's pressing problems. Meanwhile, 71% of those surveyed expressed distrust in the president, with another 6% unsure.

Matters are not going well for the country's Prime Minister, Sebastian Lecornu either. The approval rating of the head of government remains extremely low: 64% of citizens are not willing to rely on him to govern the country, and only 25% of respondents expressed the opposite view.

Meanwhile, in July 2026, the media reported that the leader of the French National Rally party, Marine Le Pen, could win the French presidential election in 2027, despite a guilty verdict in a case involving the misappropriation of European Union funds.

This was according to the results of polls conducted by Ifop and Toluna Harris Interactive. According to Ifop, Le Pen could secure 36% of the votes in the first round and win in the second round.

Polls were conducted after a court on July 7 reduced Le Pen's sentence, cutting the term of electoral deprivation to 45 months, 30 of which she had already served.

Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić announced on June 27, 2026, that he will resign in the near future to run in parliamentary elections. He made the statement during a large pro-government rally in Belgrade.

"In a few weeks, I will resign. I have informed the leadership of the Serbian Progressive Party that I will help them win the next election so that we can implement everything I have been talking about over the next four years," said the Serbian leader.

The position of President of Hungary became vacant in July following the removal of Tamas Szuyok. Szuyok was ousted as a result of adopting an amendment to the constitution, proposed by the new Prime Minister Peter Madar.

On August 11, 2026, Andras Baka was elected as the new President of Hungary.

The decision was taken at a sitting of the country's parliament, with 140 deputies voting in favor of Baka's candidacy, six against. It is expected that Baka will take office on August 19.

The catastrophic influx at the end of July 2026 of Moroccan migrants is attributed to errors in the country's leadership policy and the resulting problems in relations between Spain and other states.

This, however, deserves separate study and will be considered in the next part of the Confirmation.

(continuation of the topic to follow)