Kazakhstan on the brink of change (since 2019)

Interview: "Special Broadcast! Unveiling the 'World on the Edge of Change' Project! Astrologer Svetlana Dragan" (SunGates Media_University's Personal Meeting Room). Published on February 22, 2019, link.

S. Dragan:

Well, literally in the nearest time, indeed, already this January (2019), it seems the President of Kazakhstan is, probably, not feeling well. March will underscore this even more seriously. Mid-March, then April. And literally, I won't give a narrow leeway, to avoid inviting anything, but in any case, from March literally... the situation and the possibility of continuing to lead the country raise big doubts...

It starts in May (2019), literally, around the 20th of May, probably, in Kazakhstan, a not so smooth political situation begins. Moreover, judging by the map of Kazakhstan, governance was conducted by clans, so to speak. They didn't always openly present themselves, the management of everything wasn't always clear. But this clanness, probably, will be leaving...

Nevertheless, when 2021 comes, somewhere from 2021 to 2022, here we can talk about Kazakhstan potentially becoming part of some union, say...

And around 2021-2022, there comes a moment of some relative calm, because things won't be immediately sorted out...

The confirmation of the forecast about Kazakhstan's future, given by S. Dragan as early as the beginning of 2019, was prompted by today's events, namely the meeting of the EAEU heads and the statement made on May 27th by the President of Kazakhstan, following negotiations with Russian leader Vladimir Putin: "Kazakhstan values the ties of friendship and strategic partnership with Russia."

Today, the situation in Kazakhstan is assessed as quite stable, but it was far from that at the beginning of 2019.

The country had been led by its undisputed leader, N. Nazarbayev, for nearly 30 years.

At that time, S. Dragan noted: "‘Well, literally in the nearest future, that is, already this January (2019), it seems, the President of Kazakhstan is not feeling very well. March will underline this even more seriously. Mid-March, then April. And literally, I won’t say I’m giving a narrow margin, to avoid inviting anything, but in any case, from March literally… the situation and the ability to continue leading the country raise big doubts.’"

On March 19, 2019, the first president, Nursultan Nazarbayev, announced his early resignation from the post.

After the resignation, the powers of the president automatically passed to the Chairman of the Senate (the upper house of parliament), Kasym-Jomart Tokayev. On March 20, he took the oath and assumed the duties.

S. Dragan continued her forecast: «... And starting in May (2019), literally around the 20th of the month, most likely in Kazakhstan, a not-so-stable political situation will begin. Furthermore, judging by the map of Kazakhstan, clans, so to speak, ruled. They did not always act openly, and the management of everything was not always clear. But this clan-like structure is likely to dissipate...»

In the context of this forecast, 2019 will be remembered by Kazakhs as a year of resignations. It started with the first president, followed by other officials, once holding solid positions in ministries and agencies, the presidential administration, and the Security Council, who left for "another job" or retirement. The process continued in 2020, with new figures emerging, and a new political elite of the next generation was forming...

However, for two years, literally up to 2020, no one could say that Kazakhstan had changed and was now different.

More active changes began in the middle of 2020. For example, in May 2020, Dariga, the daughter of Nazarbayev, lost her position as chair of the Senate (Kazakhstan's parliament). Tokayev also removed many of Nazarbayev's people from leadership positions in the security services, and relatives of the former president lost control of major economic assets, including Kaztransoil and Kaztransgas.

As of 2020, three clans were roughly identified in the country: Shymkent, Jambyl, and Almaty. The first two were constantly fighting each other, and their actions were aimed at weakening the third.

The seriousness of the events and the special role of Kazakhstan at the turn of 2021 and 2022 years was noted by S. Dragan: “... Nevertheless, when 2021 comes, somewhere around, from 2021 to 2022, and here, we can talk about the fact that Kazakhstan can indeed become part of some kind of union...”

In January 2022, at the request of the President of Kazakhstan, Kasym-Jomart Tokayev, in the wake of mass protests in Almaty, which escalated into armed clashes between protesters and government forces, an operation was carried out by the Organization for Collective Security (CSTO) in Kazakhstan. Conducted by Russia and other countries participating in the organization. The operation was planned as a peacekeeping mission to protect the most important state and strategic facilities in Kazakhstan and to assist the Kazakh side in maintaining law and order.

From 2022 to 2025, Kazakhstan actively participated in the development of several economic and integration alliances, including the Eurasian Economic Union, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, and the Commonwealth of Independent States.

Later, Kazakhstan acquired the status of a partner of another economic union, BRICS, on January 1, 2025.

The actions of "some union", specifically the CSTO, allowed, as predicted by S. Dragan, "...and somewhere around 2021-2022, there comes a moment of some kind of relative calm, because things won't settle immediately there. But the beginning of the transitional moment we can expect in the nearest future (after February 2022)."

In January 2022, Kazakhstan's President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev also took the post of Chairman of the Republic's Security Council. This marked the departure of Nursultan Nazarbayev from the top position he had held since leaving the presidency in 2019.

Kazakhstani President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev, in his address to the people of Kazakhstan on September 1, 2022, proposed holding early presidential elections on November 20, 2022, and also suggested reducing the maximum number of presidential terms from two to one and extending the presidential term from five to seven years.

Tokayev was re-elected, and Kazakhstan has seen a period of relative calm following revolutionary turmoil.

We will conclude with the confirmation of the assessment of the situation in Kazakhstan and Russia's attitude towards this state, as stated by V. Putin on May 27, 2026: "The strategic partnership and alliance between the two countries rest on unshaken principles of mutual respect and trust, serving as an important factor in ensuring peace, stability, and socio-economic development across the entire Eurasian space. I emphasize that our country holds in high regard a strong and prosperous Kazakhstan with its effective, people-backed political system, stable, and dynamically growing economy."

(continuation of the topic follows)