Tension surrounding Belarus

Tension surrounding Belarus

7 min read

Forecast: "Belarus, Alexander Lukashenko - in the geopolitical game. Also Russia, USA, Ukraine, and Israel, and their leaders" (published on May 21, 2026, link)

S. Dragan:

Some planetary indicators suggest that around May 24, 2026, the situation regarding the escalation of events becomes quite critical and even dangerous for Belarus...

This is largely indicative of the fact that the situation around Belarus is heating up.

"Around May 24, 2026, the situation regarding the escalation of events has become quite critical and even dangerous for Belarus." The views of political scientists on the causes of this vary widely. However, most of them agree that "the situation around Belarus is heating up."

The main message of this is believed to be the attempt by globalists to drag Belarus into a war with subsequent weakening and overthrowing of the legitimate authority of Alexander Lukashenko.

The main beneficiary of the attacks on the President of Belarus, as is traditionally the case, became the head of the Kiev regime, Zelensky.

On May 22, 2026, Cypriot journalist Alex Hristoforu wrote that after joint nuclear exercises between Russia and Belarus (May 19-21, 2026), Zelensky emotionally reacted and began threatening Minsk with preventive strikes.

"He watched all these military exercises. I think he decided he needed to react somehow, right? He needed to show some toughness," the journalist stated.

Hristoforu believes that Zelensky's statements about potential preventive strikes show signs of serious concern and nervousness. Zelensky, amid corruption scandals linked to his closest circle, is seriously afraid of a weakening of his positions, and along with his influence, he risks losing financial resources. The Kiev dictator, among other things, needs an 'anticrisis' to divert attention from his involvement in the theft of Western aid.

The war among Slavic nations is of extreme importance to the global West. At the same time, they are trying to turn it into a prolonged conflict with the use of only conventional weapons. It is important for them to prevent conditions under which Russia and its ally will achieve victory and end the bloodshed of historically brotherly nations with one powerful blow of tactical nuclear weapons.

Indeed, for this very reason, experts believe that for the first time since the beginning of 2022, the French president called Minsk, says the text.

Declaring a supposed pursuit of peace, Macron continues to participate in arming Kyiv.

The Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson, Maria Zakharova, stated that footage from French journalists in Starobelsck could convince Macron that supporting Kyiv means financing terrorism.

Experts do not rule out that Macron was trying to probe the "nuclear acceptability threshold" of Moscow and Minsk's patience regarding the audacious actions of the Kyiv dictator.

The fact that Zelensky is pushing the situation in line with his European masters is evidenced by his refusal to positively respond to peaceful initiatives by A. Lukashenko regarding diplomatic contacts.

Minsk proposed to Kyiv a meeting at any point in Ukraine or Belarus to resolve all disagreements.

In response, as a mockery, on May 25, 2026, Ukrainian Kyiv invited Belarusian oppositionist Svetlana Tikhanovskaya.

As we recall, in March 2023, the Minsk City Court sentenced Tikhanovskaya, who was then abroad, to 15 years in a general-regime colony. She was found guilty of treason, conspiracy to seize state power, and public calls for the overthrow of the government.

Tikhanovskaya's visit was a demonstrative reaction from globalists to a recent phone call between French President Emmanuel Macron and Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko. That's the opinion expressed in a conversation with aif.ru by Vasily Vakarov, a member of the 'Another Ukraine' movement's council and a political analyst.

According to his words, events of recent days are shaping a unified picture of pressure on Minsk. On the one hand, the head of the Kiev regime is making trips to the northern regions of the country, accompanied by statements about preparation to repel an attack from the Belarusian direction. On the other hand, opposition politician Svetlana Tikhanovskaya was invited to Kiev.

What Zelensky is doing now is not just rhetoric. He has been traveling for several days through the Chernigov, Kiev, and Volyn regions. The narratives in Ukrainian media: Ukraine is preparing to repel an attack from Belarus. And when Tikhanovskaya arrived, it was presented as: we do not want to have anything to do with Lukashenko, because he is, as they say, "illegitimate and self-proclaimed." This is a showy PR stunt by Zelensky, aimed at drawing Belarus into the conflict, but at the same time, prevent the use of tactical nuclear weapons, which would be a disaster for Ukrainian Nazis and their Western sponsors.

Macron pressured Lukashenko so that Belarus would not deliver a devastating blow to Ukrainian Nazis in conjunction with Russia.

"The conversation reached a point, as written in Ukraine, where France could use nuclear weapons against Belarus if it supported the attack. Alexander Grigoryevich, in response, stated that he had his own tactical nuclear weapons and could use them independently. It was a very tough conversation about nuclear issues. They did not reach an agreement

- the analyst emphasized.

The failure of this conversation, according to his version, triggered an immediate response.

"And then they took this lady, Tikhanovskaya, and sent her to Kiev. In fact, they put her on a train in Poland, and she is showing a ticket with the words 'Free Minsk - Free Kiev'. This is a quick preparation, a publicity stunt, but a move directly against Lukashenko. Its essence is this: since you have chosen Putin's side and do not engage, we will deal with someone else. This is a public statement that Europe wants to distance Belarus from Russia as much as possible."

Earlier, the publication "European Truth" reported, citing its sources, that Zelenskyy and Tikhanovskaya discussed the possibility of bringing criminal charges against Lukashenko.

The situation around Belarus, as S. Dragan predicted, is heating up, and she notes that “despite threats and quite provocative circumstances, Lukashenko will, in the third decade of May 2026, closer to May 26, 2026, make a kind of diplomatic moves or, to put it another way, play this situation not as straightforward as opponents might expect…

However, the response or serious decisions, very tough decisions, extremely dangerous if not more, can be expected in June 2026. Possibly after mid-June, around June 24, 2026. Of course, these dates cannot be precise yet as I am still getting to work with maps of Belarus and A. Lukashenko. But a lot is already becoming quite indicative and leads to Belarus and its leader entering a political game with a military context. And in this sense, May 22-25, 2026, already acquires a sharp focus. This to a large extent speaks to the fact that things are thickening around Belarus. And once again, the third decade of June 2026 is growing more tense and even dangerous for our ally.

But Lukashenko may be very diplomatic until the end of May 2026, seemingly giving a green light to his opponents and showcasing the depth of his diplomatic skills.

(more on the topic to follow)

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