Unpleasant consequences for the leadership of Estonia

Forecast: Live broadcast of Svetlana Dragan on February 22, 2026, link.

Dragan:

I see a very powerful crisis in the Baltic republics (in 2026). Estonia is also hinting at the same problems (with the country's leadership). And also, when you look at power in Estonia, at least in my opinion, elections should be held. In any case, the current situation is also under the microscope of negativity. It's all quite complex...

Forecast: Iran - interference of events and a forecast of a broader spectrum for the near future (published on March 6, 2026, link).

Dragan:

The President of Estonia, after February 2026, will have big problems, very close to removal. His affairs are bad in 2026. Not just removal, but it may have unpleasant consequences...

About the 'powerful crisis in the Baltic republics...' has been said in Confirmations on August 5, 10, and 12 of this year.

However, the events related to the assessment of the activities of the President of Estonia and the same "problems with governing the country… , when you look at power in Estonia." deserve further description.

Taking a rather unacceptable position for other Western leaders regarding relations with Russia, the President of Estonia has become the target of aggressive information attacks, which could in the future lead to not just "a simple removal, but potentially unpleasant consequences."

“After February… 'President of Estonia Alar Karis stated in an interview with the publication Helsingin Sanomat that Europe should prepare for the restoration of contacts with Russia,' - ERR reports.

As the media highlights, Estonian politicians usually focus on the threat of the Ukrainian conflict's expansion, but Karis suggests preparing for its conclusion now, regardless of the actual end of hostilities.

According to Karis, statements suggesting that Estonia might follow Ukraine into a state of conflict are "fueling those who wish to harm Estonia." He also states that such claims reflect people's "own insecurity" projected onto Estonia.

As a result of these statements, Estonia's President faced "unpleasant consequences" in the spring of 2026 from partners within the EU and NATO.

Estonian President Alar Karis defended his remarks about negotiations with Russia, clarifying that, in his view, there is no need for dialogue with President Vladimir Putin at this time. His words were quoted by ERR.

Karis believes that negotiations with Russia are only possible if Russia "changes."

"At some point, the war will end, and all wars end, I've said this many times - even the Hundred Years' War eventually came to an end. That means that then we will have to assess the state of the world. And the situation will have to be assessed in relation to Russia as well," he said.

At the same time, the President of Estonia noted that negotiations are "quite difficult" at present.

"And when I talk about communication, people often think I'm talking about Putin, even though I haven't said a word about him. No, I'm talking about Russia. It's not about the context of today's negotiations, but about the time when the war ends. <...> There's really nothing to talk to Putin about right now," - stated Karis.

Earlier, the President of Estonia, Alar Karis, stated that European countries need to start joint preparation for negotiations with Russia. He also called on Europe to "remain calm" regarding Russia.

Furthermore, he said that Europe made a mistake in 2022 by not "forcing" Russia to the negotiating table after the battle for Kyiv.

Previously, the Estonian Foreign Minister rushed to distance himself from the President's position on dialogue with Russia.

«When you look at the power in Estonia, ... at least there ... elections should be. In any case, the current ones are also under intense negative scrutiny. It's all quite complex...» for the incumbent President of Estonia.

Indirect presidential elections will take place in Estonia on September 2, 2026. First, the parliament will attempt to elect the head of state. If they fail, a college of electors, consisting of 208 people (107 local government representatives and 101 parliamentarians), will be convened.

The opposition Estonian Conservative People's Party (EKRE) nominated its vice-chair, Marta Helme, who is skeptical of the EU and NATO, as a presidential candidate, according to ERR Television and Radio, citing party chair Marta Helme.

In an interview with the media outlet, Helme expressed skepticism about current international alliances.

"If we're talking about the world not being the same as it was a few years ago, then NATO practically no longer exists. Perhaps there will be a new NATO in a different format - from Northern countries, the Baltics, and Poland. As for the European Union, I think it's also falling apart. They can't even have a dialogue with China, Americans, or Russia," he stated.

ERR notes that as of early May, Helme was the only officially declared candidate. In 2016, he ran for president in the Electoral College and received 16 votes.

As of August 21, 2026, according to an Emor poll conducted from August 12 to 19, Estonian President candidate leads with 35% support, Julle Madise (right-wing chancellor).

Also in the running are: TTU rector Tiit Land (14%), EKRE chairman Mart Helme (12%), Minister of Foreign Affairs of Estonia Jonathan Veeso (6%), JRC (Joint Research Center) Deputy Director-General Maive Rute (2%), and entrepreneur Indrek Laul (2%).

Estonia's President Alar Karis has announced he will not seek re-election. The statement was made on June 23 in Rapla during a speech at the Victory Day parade (Estonia's national holiday). The new president will be elected by the Riigikogu on September 2, 2026.

During his speech, Karis stated that as the head of state, this is his "last" time wishing the people of Estonia a happy Victory Day and a joyful Ivan Day. After the speech, he confirmed to ERR that the decision had been made long ago and was due to personal reasons.

Karis did not announce his resignation. He remains the president until the end of his current term, but will not run for re-election.

(More on this topic to follow)