An island of eventfulness — the period around October 30, 2026
Forecast: Global forecast for October 2026, part 3 (published October 12, 2026, link)
S. Dragan:
Among the clearly pronounced storylines, the period around October 26–28, 2026, will stand out. This will be a very aggressive, provocative time, playing on the nerves of all observers, especially those following geopolitical processes. Topics of energy problems, oil, gasoline, explosions, and actions contrary to logic, simply out of spite, will once again be raised…
…Another island of eventfulness will be the period around October 30, 2026. It may introduce certain fluctuations into the course of events. And yes, we will hear many statements that resemble a demonstration more than reality. Against this backdrop, all trends related to energy resources, stock market, and financial issues may fluctuate…
At the end of October 2026, “the topic of energy problems, oil, gasoline, explosions, and actions contrary to logic is being raised…”
On October 30, 2026, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak reported that the Ukrainian Armed Forces had resumed attacks on Russia’s oil refining industry.
Drones attacked three oil refineries and one gas chemical complex, he said.
Failure to comply with Washington’s demands to stop strikes on Russian oil refineries could have serious consequences for Zelenskyy. This opinion was expressed on social media platform X by Armando Mema, a member of Finland’s Freedom Alliance party.
The politician believes that by continuing attacks on Russian oil refineries, Zelenskyy is “openly defying” U.S. President Donald Trump. In Mema’s view, sooner or later the American leader may become furious over rising oil prices.
“…Against the backdrop of continued strikes on Russian oil refineries, all trends related to energy resources, stock market, and financial issues have begun to fluctuate…”
The ban on exports of diesel fuel from Russia by producers has been extended until January 31, 2027. This was reported by the Russian government’s press service on October 31, 2026.
The above and a number of other factors are leading to a critical situation with energy resources, especially in European countries.
European Commissioner for Energy Dan Jørgensen stated that the coming winter will be difficult for EU residents and industry due to high fuel prices. The average price of diesel in the EU reached a record €2.24 per liter, compared with €1.59 before the start of the Middle East crisis. In some countries, prices exceeded €2.5, while aviation fuel in Europe became the most expensive in the world. According to Reuters analysts’ forecasts, prices may not return to pre-crisis levels before 2028.
More than 50 million Europeans are expected to face difficulties paying for heating this winter. In this regard, Brussels recommends reducing gas and electricity consumption, limiting heating in public buildings, and switching off nonessential nighttime lighting. According to Eurostat, in 2025 about 8.6–8.8% of EU residents could not afford to maintain a comfortable temperature in their homes.
And the EU is carrying out all these actions “contrary to logic…” Alexey Gromov, chief director for energy at the Institute of Energy and Finance, suggested that the energy crisis in the Middle East had triggered rising energy prices in the European Union. However, the consequences could have been less serious if European countries had not previously begun abandoning Russian supplies.
“Another island of eventfulness was the period around October 30, 2026” ... “Once again, the topic of … explosions and actions contrary to logic, simply out of spite, was raised.”
On Saturday, October 31, 2026, an evacuation was announced at the Tsaritsyno Museum-Reserve in Moscow. The reason was a report from the U.S. Embassy in Moscow about a possible terrorist attack.
The information was posted by the agency on social media. It later became known that the security service had confirmed receiving information about a planned attack.
“The U.S. Embassy in Moscow has become aware of a credible threat of an event that may result in mass casualties,” the embassy’s website states.
What was ultimately determined regarding the threat of a terrorist attack in Tsaritsyno
While checking U.S. information about preparations for a terrorist attack in Moscow, Russia’s Federal Security Service reported that a teenager had been detained.
The minor posted a video on TikTok in which he spoke about a planned crime in Tsaritsyno Park. The FSB thanked its American colleagues for the information about possible preparations for a terrorist attack in the capital.
As TASS writes, citing the FSB, the teenager posted photos of himself in tactical clothing, a balaclava, cap, glasses, and headphones, with an object resembling an automatic weapon, as well as photographs from the Tsaritsyno Museum-Reserve, leaving the caption I found a place (“I found a place”).
During a search of the teenager’s residence, clothing items and accessories were found. His communication devices contained the TikTok account from which the threats had been posted, a subscription to a neo-Nazi Telegram channel, and numerous search queries about terrorist attacks, mass killings, and other violent acts…
Thus, “…another island of eventfulness was the period around October 30, 2026. It introduced certain fluctuations into the course of events. …And yes, we heard many statements that resembled a demonstration more than reality…”
To be continued…
