A Turn of Events — Significant Changes in Israel

Forecast: The geopolitical events of October 2026 and their further development. A prospective course of events for many major geopolitical players” (published October 4, 2026, link).

S. Dragan:

…But, one way or another, from October 2026, a countdown begins, after which a mechanism will be triggered in a fateful way, putting an end to the “viability” of Israel’s former governing elite. It often happens that a certain political move can become the trigger for a turn of events behind which significant changes already stand…

Forecast: A little about important geopolitical highlights of the near future (published October 26, 2026, link).

S. Dragan:

…And the sunset story for Netanyahu is already setting its karmic design in motion in early November, namely closer to November 2, 2026…

In a number of Confirmations dated October 5, 8, and 22, 2026, it was noted over the past month that closer to October 25, 2026, the situation for Israel and Netanyahu himself would become extremely dangerous and tense.

And the greatest tension and danger for him was posed by the Knesset elections on October 27, 2026.

“A certain political move that could become the trigger for a turn of events, behind which significant changes were meant to stand…”, namely a favorable election outcome, was supposed to be another Israeli strike against Iran.

To carry out this strike, it was necessary to convince fellow citizens of the need for a military victory over Iran, since this state, in Netanyahu’s view, poses a mortal danger to Israel.

And on October 25, 2026, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu decided to visually demonstrate this threat by publishing an AI-generated image of a nuclear explosion over a city resembling Tel Aviv.

“The State of Israel is in real and tangible existential danger. If the Iranians obtain nuclear weapons, nothing else will matter anymore. Everything is so trivial compared with the existential threat posed by Iran and the Shiite axis,” the publication says.

Netanyahu cites the words of Yuval Blumberg, who said that political scandals and internal disagreements distract attention from the main task—countering the nuclear threat from Iran. According to the publicist, Israel must direct all necessary state resources toward resolving it.

“We still have two years of U.S. President Donald Trump, to finish the job in Iran, and it is unknown what will happen afterward,” Blumberg wrote, expressing concern over a possible shift in the U.S. political course after the end of Trump’s presidential term.

The author also stated that future generations would not forgive Israel for the missed opportunity to eliminate the threat. He criticized politicians who, in his view, are unable to maintain constant dialogue with the American president and withstand pressure during television interviews.

In the text, Blumberg emphasized that political hostility toward Netanyahu should not, in his opinion, outweigh national security issues. He warned of the consequences of Iran potentially acquiring nuclear weapons and urged Israelis to take these risks into account in their political choices.

Netanyahu’s attempt to manage on his own did not succeed.

In the third decade of October, Israeli Chief of the General Staff Eyal Zamir spoke out against the country’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s attempt to order a military operation against Iran immediately before the elections.

The general stated that he saw no operational need to strike Iran before Israel’s parliamentary elections, scheduled for October 27. Zamir demanded that the head of government provide a written document with a legal justification for this step.

The television channel notes that the Israeli military command is concerned that politicians are trying to use the Iran issue for their political interests.

Under such conditions, Israel cannot do without its most loyal ally—the United States. In connection with the real threat of an election defeat, which could ultimately lead to Netanyahu’s imprisonment for corruption crimes committed earlier, he is trying to persuade the United States to resume strikes against Iran.

According to Axios, in a conversation with Trump on October 31, 2026, Netanyahu sought strikes after the November 3 elections.

“Under pressure from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the Trump administration may be just days away from launching a nuclear strike on Iran,” Tucker Carlson wrote on November 2, 2026.

He named a possible target as an underground facility in Mount Pickaxe in the central part of the country. He claimed that Israeli intelligence believes uranium enrichment has resumed there. Carlson believes that conventional American weapons will not be able to penetrate approximately 90 meters of granite above the facility.

At the same time, according to the journalist, D. Trump is still hesitant. Vice President J.D. Vance and special envoy Steve Witkoff are urging him to seek an agreement with Tehran. Carlson warned of the risk of radioactive contamination of the Persian Gulf and further nuclear escalation. He did not disclose the names of his sources.

Experts acknowledge that Netanyahu’s position in these elections is not as strong, while his main opponent, Israeli politician Gadi Eisenkot, promised at the end of October 2026 to bring about a change of Netanyahu’s government after the Knesset elections (Israel’s parliament). Eisenkot, who heads the opposition Yashar party, made this statement after preliminary polls showed that Netanyahu’s opponents would receive two more seats in the Knesset than his supporters.

“Preliminary exit poll results indicated a complete lack of trust in Netanyahu and the government as of October 7, 2026, on the part of the Zionist majority and the majority of Israeli citizens,” Eisenkot wrote.

And although Eisenkot and his party did not achieve the success they had hoped for, as forecast, the results of the snap elections to the 26th Knesset, held on October 27, 2026, brought Israel to a political deadlock.

After 100% of the ballots were counted, neither of the two main political blocs was able to win the necessary 61 seats to form a stable government.

The bloc of incumbent Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, which included, in addition to Likud (27 seats), the ultra-Orthodox parties Shas and United Torah Judaism, as well as ultranationalist forces, received only 53 seats in total. This is a serious setback compared with the previous election, in which the bloc won 64 seats. The opposition bloc headed by former Chief of the General Staff Gadi Eisenkot (Yashar!—21 seats) and his allies won 48 seats.

Against this backdrop, the main surprise of the campaign was the historic result of the Arab parties—the Joint List and the Islamist Ra’am. Together, they won a record 19 seats, doubling their representation in parliament compared with the previous convocation. Without them, forming any coalition is now mathematically impossible.

The elections to the Israeli Knesset did not give any of the main political alliances a majority to independently form a government. According to experts, this could lead the country to a prolonged political crisis and a repeat vote.

S. Dragan predicts:

…Although this alone (the election results) will outline the subsequent chain of events with an inevitable finale for Netanyahu…

…And, of course, the timing of the situation may shift somewhat with regard to different countries. For example, Israel may move toward destructive events closer to mid-December, around December 14, 2026…

To be continued…