Provocative pressure on Russia. Early September 2026
Forecast: “What was foreseen in connection with the visit to Russia by CIA Director Ratcliffe. Geopolitical trends of autumn 2026” (published September 1, 2026, link).
S. Dragan:
But for this (in September 2026), Western leaders and the Kyiv regime need to resort to highly questionable political staging. It is of a very dubious and even ugly nature. For Russia, this is also a highly provocative scenario. And for Russia’s leader, it generally looks like pressure, and rather serious pressure at that…
Today, October 14, 2026, when this Confirmation is being written, the situation related to Western pressure on Russia has changed significantly. But S. Dragan spoke about this in her forecasts for October 2026, and other Confirmations will accordingly be devoted to it.
Let us return to the events of September 2026. The intensification of terrorist activity by the Kyiv regime was addressed in the Confirmation dated September 9, 2026. But Kyiv’s partners in the “coalition of the willing,” as well as other Western countries that are, to one degree or another, Ukraine’s partners, at least as declared, also did not lag behind in their attempts to increase pressure on the Kremlin.
The greatest public resonance in late August and early September 2026 was connected with the so-called “hellish sanctions” of Russophobe Lindsey Graham, now deceased, who had been designated a terrorist and extremist in Russia.
Donald Trump signed a law on “hellish” sanctions against Russia on September 18. The document provides for restrictions on banks, officials, and the shadow fleet, as well as tariffs for the largest purchasers of Russian oil and gas. The main measures were to be introduced within 30 days after the law entered into force, but the U.S. president retains the right to make exceptions.
Even before the document was signed, the Kremlin warned that the new U.S. restrictions would complicate the search for a peaceful settlement in Ukraine. On September 17, Russian presidential press secretary Dmitry Peskov called the consideration of the bill “unfriendly actions” and stated that Moscow would monitor its progress.
But with regard to sanctions by the United States, it should be noted that D. Trump is seeking economic benefits for his country and is not yielding to pressure from his domestic opponents—Democrats and Jewish globalists. To their surprise, the U.S. president not only did not introduce “hellish sanctions,” but moreover temporarily lifted sanctions on the sale of Russian diesel fuel.
This situation is examined in detail in the Confirmation dated October 12, 2026.
European partners in the “coalition of the willing” displayed particular zeal in their attacks on Moscow in September 2026.
And here they, the leaders of the EU and NATO, do not need to seek any evidence of the Kremlin’s guilt or “traces.” They believe that Russia is responsible for everything that could potentially pose a threat to EU countries.
“NATO member states should, without a second thought, blame Russia in every situation where there is an opportunity to do so,” NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte stated on September 30 during a press conference with Lithuanian Prime Minister Mindaugas Sinkevicius.
At Leipzig Airport, as early as August 5, 2026, one drone was discovered that was allegedly loaded with explosives. The discovery was made near a Ukrainian cargo aircraft. German Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt said that what happened could be considered a possible scenario of a hybrid attack.
Germany’s authorities, including incumbent Chancellor Friedrich Merz, worked on the political agenda for a very long time. But eventually, on September 1, 2026, they accused Russia, without providing any evidence, of alleged involvement in the drone incident at Leipzig Airport.
According to one expert: “Germany, and Merz in particular, is more focused on the domestic political agenda. As of early September 2026, he is concerned about elections in a number of states. There is suspicion that the ruling bloc may suffer a major defeat in the autumn elections; there is a version that ‘Alternative for Germany’ will greatly improve its position. For Merz, this is a fundamentally difficult and dangerous moment. In general, he may lose his status as chancellor, and he is playing up this agenda. That is where his reaction to Leipzig comes from.”
For the same reason, the expert noted, the German authorities waited so long to announce the results of the airport incident investigation. They decided to disclose them before the elections in order to launch the corresponding information wave.
As subsequent events showed, this did not help Merz: his party suffered a catastrophic defeat in elections in three states in September 2026.
According to experts’ assessment, some European politicians may intensify their anti-Russian rhetoric against this backdrop. At the same time, for another group, the situation will remain “dubious,” since there is no real evidence of Russia’s involvement in the incident.
Russian Ambassador to Germany Sergey Nechaev stated earlier that day that Germany’s accusations against Russia were unfounded, absurd, and contrary to common sense. Nechaev was summoned to the German Foreign Ministry, where he was presented with a protest over the alleged involvement of Russian state structures in an attempt to use an explosives-laden drone at Leipzig Airport on the night of August 5. According to the ambassador, Berlin presented no evidence of Russia’s guilt.
At the same time, against the backdrop of the accusations, political scientist Vladimir Shapovalov told Izvestia about a policy of double standards toward Russia. This is not the first time Russia has faced unfounded accusations of this kind. As the expert noted, similar attacks have repeatedly occurred against the backdrop of drone crashes in Poland and certain other countries bordering Ukraine.
Kyiv’s Western partners are not limiting themselves to baseless accusations, but are also preparing to step up arms supplies to the Kyiv regime, thereby increasing pressure on Moscow.
Germany plans to transfer Iris-T missiles and several thousand drones to Ukraine “in the near future.” According to the television channel, this will be a response to the drone incident at Leipzig Airport, for which Berlin blamed Moscow.
German Federal Chancellor Friedrich Merz arrived in Kyiv on an unannounced visit. Reuters reported this on October 4.
The chancellor arrived in Kyiv accompanied by executives of German defense companies, including Siemens Energy, Hensoldt, Diehl Defence, and Quantum Systems. The delegation was met at the railway station by Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha.
In Kyiv, Merz will announce a package of measures adopted, including the allocation of €1 billion in military aid and €350 million for the restoration of the energy sector. An agreement on the joint production of various types of drones is also expected to be concluded during the visit.
“I came to Kyiv today because Ukraine needs all our support in the coming weeks,” the agency quoted Merz as saying.
The head of the German government stated that he intends to announce further support from Berlin to Vladimir Zelensky, the head of the Kyiv regime. He added that Kyiv needs support in its confrontation with Russia.
Merz is accompanied by German Economy Minister Katherina Reiche.
Merz and Zelensky spoke by telephone on September 30. The head of the Kyiv regime stated that Ukraine would soon finalize a deal with Germany on the production of drones, missiles, and related software.
In April, the German developer and manufacturer of drones and drone technologies Quantum Systems GmbH and Ukrainian UAV manufacturer WIY Drones announced the creation of the Quantum WIY Industries joint venture to produce the “Strila” interceptor drone and related air defense technologies.
In addition, Germany has a plant supplying drones to Ukraine. The enterprise mass-produces HX-2 strike drones for the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Crimean State Council Chairman Vladimir Konstantinov previously noted that the plant is a legitimate target for the Russian Defense Ministry.
Russian President Vladimir Putin previously stated that if weapons supplies to the Ukrainian army were halted, the conflict in Ukraine would end within two to three months.
London was preparing a massive ballistic missile and UAV strike on Moscow on September 4, 2026.
Viktor Medvedchuk stated that London is moving from mass drone deliveries to the serial production of ballistic missiles. The British Nightfall project, according to Bloomberg, provides for the production of ballistic missiles with a range of more than 500 km, and the British Ministry of Defense has already signed development contracts with several companies.
BRUSSELS, September 11 — RIA Novosti. The European Commission approved the allocation of an additional €6.1 billion to Ukraine for the purchase of air and missile defense systems, ammunition, drones, and electronic warfare equipment, according to a statement issued by the EC on Friday.
The European Union is adopting the largest package of sanctions against Russia. This was stated by EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas.
“Now is not the time to ease pressure on Russia, and Europe will not do so. On Monday, October 5, 2026, EU foreign ministers intend to approve the largest package of sanctions lists directed against Russia,” the statement said.
Kallas announced the sanctions after a conversation between Russian President Vladimir Putin and his American counterpart Donald Trump. The sides agreed that Russia would supply more than 300,000 tons of diesel fuel to the American and global markets in October 2026. The American leader stated that another 500,000 tons would be delivered in November, and 1 million tons “immediately thereafter.” Russia could additionally supply 3 million tons of diesel fuel depending on the condition of refineries.
Led by ardent Russophobes from the European Commission, the ambassadors of EU countries approved the 22nd package of sanctions against Russia on October 7, 2026. The list included more than 1,500 enterprises and individuals, mainly connected with Russia’s defense industry and the production of dual-use goods. Those listed will be banned from entering the EU, and all their assets within the bloc will be frozen.
S. Dragan forecasts:
In response to this pressure… from the middle of October toward the 20th of October 2026, Russia will strengthen considerably, and this will in many ways dot the i’s, hinting at a new political and rhetorical trajectory. This will enhance the country’s military potential and somewhat change the economic factor in Russia’s favor. For the external geopolitical opposition represented by certain countries, this will be regarded as readiness for an attack or as an alarm signal…
(To be continued.)
