A. Lukashenko's Long Journey for a Important Partnership

Forecast: "Belarus. Lukashenko. Zelensky. Global Trends Summer 2026. Main" (published June 24, 2026, link)

S. Dragan:

If we break down this course of events for Belarus, we can say that by the end of June - beginning of July 2026, the situation for this country looks strange, uncertain, and foggy - wobbly. Especially as of the 20th of June 2026, it may seem that the country has lost its leader. The situation could look alarming... Around July 5, 2026, the topic of alliance formation and a long journey (A. Lukashenko) emerges, in the name of a significant partnership... By around July 5, 2026, Lukashenko's situation will be favorable, almost drawing up a completely new political, and possibly economic, arrangement...

A series of forecasts and their confirmations in May and June of this year are dedicated to the latest events in Belarus (May 25, May 28, June 1, June 19, June 30).

Indeed, as predicted, if we alter the course of these events in Belarus, we can say that by the end of June - beginning of July 2026, for this state, everything seemed strange, questionable, and vague - tenuous. Especially as of the 20th of June 2026, for some, it seemed that the country had lost its leader. The situation appeared alarming.

Zelensky, having received the task from the West to drag Belarus into the war, became sharply more active in May and June of this year. He started directly insulting the Belarusian President, Alexander Lukashenko, and the country's military.

“Zelensky’s main task is to create pretexts for war, a kind of casus belli. To do this, they want Belarus to perhaps sever diplomatic relations with Ukraine, to somehow react to this very strange ultimatum, presented as unofficial,” - experts note.

One of the directions of criminal activity of Kyiv is terrorism against Belarusian citizens on Russian territory.

Ukrainian Armed Forces (USF) militants struck a bus carrying Belarusian citizens at the border in Bryansk Oblast. This was reported by a source for REN TV on July 2.

According to REN TV, the bus was traveling from Minsk to Anapa. There were 12 passengers and two drivers in the vehicle.

"At the Russian-Belarusian border, a USF drone attacked the bus. Two people were injured," a source said.

This is the second attack by USF militants on a bus with Belarusian citizens in recent weeks. On June 17, a bus carrying young football players from the Gomel Oblast to a vacation in Gelendzhik was hit.

The wife of a football coach (she was pregnant) was killed, and eight other people, including six children, were injured.

As of early July, just as before the G7 meeting in French Évian, the pro-Western Kiev regime is likely to intensify and attempt to organize a series of high-profile terrorist attacks. It is not ruled out that Kiev's plans may include Belarus, towards which the increasingly aggressive military rhetoric of Zelensky is aimed. Even the smallest one, but for the West it will be enough to ignite an anti-Belarusian hysteria, as was the case against Russia.

On June 19, Vladimir Zelensky issued an ultimatum to Alexander Lukashenko: remove "relays" that, according to the head of the Kiev regime, are correcting strikes by Russian drones on Ukrainian positions. In case of non-compliance with the requirements, Zelensky threatened to destroy the objects himself.

The deadline that Zelensky publicly set for Lukashenko expired on Friday, June 26th. Time passed, and Lukashenko did not react. "...For some, it seemed that the country had lost its steersman."

Zelensky himself announced that the retransmitters had stopped working, which happened on June 22nd.

It appears that the head of the Kiev regime either "fulfilled" his own ultimatum or backed down prematurely. In any case, the loud statement did not have a real follow-up.

Instead of responding statements or escalation, Alexander Lukashenko continued his usual working agenda. He held a meeting with the Prime Minister, listened to the report of the Governor of Gomel Region, and in the process, announced that he was going on a long business trip. Such behavior looks like a deliberate ignoring of media attacks. Lukashenko is focused on the economy: selling tractors and BELAZs, supplying machinery and technologies, import and export issues. These are the topics he constantly puts before the ministers. The defense of the country remains the responsibility of the Belarusian leader, and public sparring with Kiev is not a priority for him.

According to political analysts, the prolonged silence of Alexander Grigoryevich in response to the ultimatum from the Kiev dictator (to eliminate alleged retransmitters at the border) in late June leads to a clear conclusion. Lukashenko took the statement by Zelensky extremely seriously, not because of the statement itself, but because of who is behind it and who is directing it.

That is, the collective West. Those who want to wage war not only against Russia but also against Belarus are preparing for an attack from three directions to strike Belarus. From the left flank, the Ukrainian Armed Forces (USF), from the right flank, the NATO Baltic group, and in the center, the Polish armed forces. And they will likely do so, not immediately, but the USF is already ready to take extreme measures. Here, the military outcome is not the primary concern; the dream of the Anglo-Saxons - a war between three Slavic peoples - will come true.

It is impossible for Lukashenko to give in to demands, he simply knows that in the next round, the West, through Zelensky, will demand more serious concessions from Belarus, which would be unacceptable for their independence.

Responding to Zelensky's blackmail with a verbal spat is simply stupid, anyway, everything is quite clear. What remains is to wait and see if the collective West will take offensive action after the deadline of the ultimatum expires? Perhaps it is just a verbal bluff by Zelensky, but based on what is happening today in Crimea, Voronezh, and other cities of Russia, it seems they are really preparing for an open attack.

As experts note, under these conditions, it is not surprising that in the last decade of June this year, there were no sharp statements in the information field of Putin and Lukashenko. Clearly, they are not in a position to comment on the attacks of the comedian Zelensky, but they need to make serious strategic decisions.

Although some political analysts found it perplexing that the leader of Belarus remained silent and made the most unwelcomed assumptions, the notion that the country lost its steering figure was merely an illusion. In reality, A. Lukashenko intensified his domestic and foreign policy activities.

The President of Belarus assured the residents of the Gomel Region, bordering Ukraine, that they should not worry as he is capable of protecting them from any aggressor.

Alexander Lukashenko requested the regional head to convey a personal message to the people of the Gomel Region.

"Tell the people of Gomel not to worry and be concerned. We have everything necessary to protect the population from any aggressor," Lukashenko quoted by BelTA, the Belarusian leader.

Lukashenko also emphasized that security issues are being given the closest attention. Although the Belarusian President refrained from naming anyone, it is easy to deduce that he was referring to Zelenskyy. As if Lukashenko is sending a signal to the "overdue": "Well, in general, you get the picture."

Moreover, A. Lukashenko did not abandon his previously planned international events and announced a lengthy foreign trip, thus showing contempt for Kyiv's threats.

"... around July 5, 2026, the topic of alliance among allies emerged and Lukashenko's distant trip in the name of important partnership... , as if drawing up a completely new political, and perhaps economic, arrangement (for Belarus)..."

Lukashenko made a working visit to the Russian Federation. On June 26 of this year, the head of state met with his Russian counterpart, Vladimir Putin. The leaders discussed bilateral cooperation, the regional and global situation.

On June 28, 2026, Russian President Vladimir Putin called his recent meeting with Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko successful and meaningful.

China became the first country on the route of the Belarusian President's grand tour of Eastern and Southeast Asian nations.

On June 29 of this year, a meeting took place between Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko and Chinese President Xi Jinping.

The main topic of the meeting was the further development of the strategic partnership between Belarus and China. Both sides confirmed their mutual interest in expanding political dialogue, strengthening economic cooperation, implementing joint investment projects, and developing industrial cooperation.

China supports Belarus in safeguarding its sovereignty, territorial integrity, and choice of development path. The PRC will strengthen cooperation with Belarus within the framework of the UN and the SCO.

The true purpose of Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko's visit to China to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping, as discussed with "Tsargrad," was suggested by political analyst Sergei Markelov. According to him, issues of bilateral cooperation between Minsk and Beijing, which had been previously discussed, became secondary.

The main goal of the trip, the expert noted, was for Lukashenko to act as a mediator, a role that Russian President Vladimir Putin trusts him to play. It is known that the Belarusian leader flew to Beijing from the Moscow region, departing for China immediately after his meeting with the Russian president, which was held in a closed format. In this context, Markelov points out, Putin and Lukashenko likely discussed in detail the new stage of interaction. After his Belarusian colleague flew to China, he delivered the information personally, without phone calls or leaks, directly discussing "updated approaches" with Jinping.

He explained that Lukashenko's visit is, in essence, a joint Russian-Belarusian response to the changing geopolitical situation. Thus, the interlocutor of the channel noted that, in the end, the meeting in Beijing focused more on key issues of strategic partnership.

Additionally, the political scientist categorically rejected assumptions about Belarus' neutral position in the conflict, reminding that Russian troops and tactical nuclear weapons are stationed on Belarusian territory. The country's extensive border with Europe is also a significant strategic resource.

"Belarus, of course, is not a direct participant in the fighting in the sense that Europe supplies weapons to Kyiv, but territorially and politically, it is on our side," he concluded.

"The formation of a completely new political, and perhaps economic, order..." continued on July 1, 2026, when Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko arrived on an official visit to Indonesia.

The main goal of the visit is to sign a strategic road map for cooperation from 2026 to 2030.

Here are just some aspects of the visit:

• Meeting with members of the Indonesian government. Lukashenko discussed with them the implementation of joint investment projects in various sectors: from ensuring food security to machinery, pharmaceuticals, and education.

• Business Forum. Dozens of new contracts were concluded there. Indonesia will purchase Belarusian dry milk and other products, while Belarus, in turn, will buy seafood, cocoa beans, and coconut oil.
• Visa-free and direct flight proposal. Minsk proposed to Jakarta to introduce visa-free travel for Belarusians and launch a direct flight. The Indonesian side promised to consider the issue.
• Indonesia's plans. The country stated its plans to open a diplomatic representation in the Belarusian capital.

On July 1st, a Belarus-Indonesia business forum was held in Jakarta, playing a crucial role in the "formation of a completely new ... economic landscape." Parties concluded agreements worth 50 million dollars. Indonesia is interested in Belarusian technologies and agricultural machinery. Minsk is also ready to supply quarry and cargo vehicles. Last year, mutual trade exceeded 600 million dollars. Belarus supplies the Asian country with potassium, dry milk, food products, and whey.

Both country leaders unanimously agreed that in industry and manufacturing, they see a great opportunity to increase volumes, investments, and cooperation between the two countries. In the development of culture and human resources, closer work is also progressing.

The Indonesian president highly appreciates that Belarus ratified the Indonesia-EAEU free trade agreement.

Substantial issues of political and economic cooperation were also discussed during the visit to Myanmar.

«... By July 5, 2026, the situation for A. Lukashenko had been favorable...».

Provocative actions by the Kiev regime against Minsk have been thwarted.

On the international stage, Belarus received support.

On July 3 of this year, US President Donald Trump sent congratulations to his Belarusian counterpart, Alexander Lukashenko, and the citizens of the republic on the occasion of the national holiday, and conveyed his sincere wishes for a peaceful and prosperous year, and expressed hope to meet with Lukashenko in the future.

Earlier, Russian President Vladimir Putin sent congratulations to Alexander Lukashenko on the Day of Independence of Belarus. The corresponding message was published on the official Kremlin website.

Experts note that Lukashenko's trip to Valdai, then to Beijing, Indonesia, and Myanmar, seriously disrupted plans not so much of Zelensky, but of London globalists - the curators of Kyiv. The Belarusian president takes western threats seriously, while making every effort to preserve peace for his country, strengthening military measures to ensure security.

New contracts and strategic agreements - the President of Belarus, Alexander Lukashenko's, extensive trip abroad is not merely a series of visits, but a demonstration of how the republic is building long-term relationships with partners on the international stage. Russia, China, Indonesia, Myanmar. The head of state's route includes countries with a combined population of over 2 billion people, nearly a third of the world's economy. These countries are home to major production centers, new technological and logistical chains. Cooperation with this region is not just about trade for Belarus, but is also part of a long-term strategy to strengthen sustainable economic and political ties with centers of global growth.

S.Dragan predicts:

In the grand scheme of things, all the most significant decisions for him (the head of Belarus) will be deferred to July 23, 2026. Where and events of immense importance for Lukashenko will take place. (Although, in truth, for the whole world as well). And this will be a very interesting new combination, a political and economic scheme... ...and the situation becomes, on the one hand, obvious, and on the other, tangled. It gives the impression that all or most countries are being provoked into participating in various military actions and ambiguous contacts between themselves. While, by the third decade of July 2026, some coordinator of this military scenario will be sought. And I do not exclude that one of the threads of this tangled web may become a contact between Lukashenko and China. History seems to be drawing all these plot lines together, where many questions will already have acquired a certain global character and will require, as it were, a single solution. All this will be pushed forward, especially by the 20th of July 2026... ...January 21, 2027 - the greatest pressure on Lukashenko. For him personally, at this time, there is a special danger...

(continuation of the topic follows)