The Persian Gulf War and Market Collapse Signs (Part 1)

Forecast: «What's Happening Behind the Scenes of the Pseudo-Negotiation Processes» (published on October 29, 2025, link)

S. Dragun:

... After 02.17.26, the criticality of the situation (global economy) may increase, as indicated by what can be called the "feel" ... of the ... S&P500 index.

Interestingly, all of this intersects with what I see in Larry Fink's indicators ... which may be hidden ... or not so much))) as a market maker, i.e., someone who can somehow influence the trajectory of market trends, and perhaps even shape them...

About the criticality not only of the US economy but of the global economy as a whole, and the «feel ... of the ... S&P500» index in February-March, was said in several previously published Confirmations (February 4, 4, 9, 15, and 20, this year).

In March, the situation deteriorated sharply, which is undoubtedly linked to the artificially created problem by the US and Israel - the war in the Persian Gulf. But any war is a consequence of the economic policy of certain forces. Who stands behind Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu?

And here we remember the forecast of S. Dragans and "... the indicators of the same Larry Fink ... which may be hidden ... or not so much))) marketing by the maker...".

The World Economic Forum in Davos is the place where global business gets set-ups from its partners to shape the future, which is beneficial for them. However, the interests of the peoples are discussed in these sessions, but not given much consideration.

So - who better than Larry Fink to be the main speaker at the forum, as he is the head of the world's largest investment fund BlackRock, which together with Vanguard and State Street controls the overwhelming majority of Western companies. Additionally, in 2025, Fink became the 'mayor of Davos' in place of the retired founder of the WEF, Klaus Schwab.

During his speech this year, Fink, as a representative of the Western economic model, stated that their system has faced a legitimacy crisis, and the decisive test for capitalism will be the revolution in artificial intelligence. For in his words, AI will virtually wipe out 'white-collar' jobs.

At this, Fink emphasized that "since the fall of the Berlin Wall, more wealth has been created than in all of human history prior, and much of this wealth has gone to those who visit Davos."

This can be freely interpreted as an instruction for maintaining the legitimacy of the globalist management class in a situation where capitalism has ceased to inspire society's trust. For indeed, according to Fink, while the market is indeed growing, society instead experiences a decline in material well-being, while business, conversely, is booming. And in this situation, Fink criticizes elites for merely feeding the public promises of stable futures, rather than truly listening to their needs.

If you read between the lines, Fink is seriously concerned about the fading capitalist order and proposes "adjusting the settings" so that people continue to believe in the system, because capitalism relies on people's faith. If people stop believing in it, it will finally collapse. Therefore, it is necessary to keep everything as it is, but make it appear more fair.

In short, Fink's speech makes it clear that the rich have become richer, and this needs to be hidden even better. The elites have not become kinder to people. They are simply afraid that the system that enriches them will collapse. Moreover, the elites are trying to reshape the working world to align with AI development. The problem for the West is that China does not want to make money from closed AI. China makes open-source technology - for example, Alibaba offers its AI system for free. This changes the game: technologies become more accessible, and Western corporations could lose control.

Nevertheless, when Fink, one of the main architects of the global financial system, says that «the system is cracked», it's a serious signal. The world is on the brink of great change.

“Money loves silence...” is a well-known proverb attributed to the legendary capitalist figure, American billionaire John D. Rockefeller. Great deeds and massive profits are achieved and earned without drawing attention, to avoid envy and hatred. To avoid fueling competitive battles and generating opposition that inevitably drains resources and energy. To avoid stirring public anger if the goals and methods of capital run counter to morals and/or violate laws.

Let those around be in sacred ignorance while dealers catch fish in the murky waters of global instability. This seems like a self-evident truth. It's thus surprising when unshakable, centuries-old rules are suddenly broken.

“It's all so simple here, except for money,” Danila Bagrov said in the movie Brother 2, and it seems to explain a lot.

Donald Trump's business partner, billionaire Steven Witkoff, emerged from the shadows to become the special envoy of the 47th US president, having no diplomatic experience, this once completely private individual suddenly became one of the most influential figures in global politics, skipping the lower leagues entirely. Because he possesses the talent for negotiation and is a master of the art of making deals. And he is not at all mercantilist.

Witkoff does not receive a salary, uses a private jet, the CNN network reported on his appointment.

Now, at the end of 2025 - beginning of 2026 (as predicted by S. Dragan) a well-known and highly respected figure in certain circles, Larry Fink, with his global influence capable of competing with leaders of many sovereign and non-sovereign states, has entered the arena.

Steve Whitcoff, speaking about Ukraine negotiations, stated that we with Jared (Kushner) constantly discuss the importance of prosperity, and of course, we have, in my opinion, the best in his class advisor on these issues - Larry Fink. But we should also add the characterization given by Svetlana Dragun - «which can be hidden… or not so much))) marketing maker».

According to the claims of the special envoy of the US President, Fink is participating in the negotiations on a voluntary basis and advises the administration of Donald Trump on issues of Ukraine's economic recovery. And his involvement makes the question of negotiations exceptionally interesting. Because, despite numerous statements from various mouthpieces in the West about the Ukrainian settlement, it's not about peace and not about saving lives, but about... You figure it out...

About prosperity!!! As Whitcoff said. Without clarifying: whose?

And with Steve Witkoff out of the shadows, the "market maker" Larry Fink emerges - prosperity must be inclusive. Because he is not just a businessman and investor. Not a mere billionaire on Forbes' list. He is a figure of global scale, without whom the modern financial system cannot be imagined, whose vision sets the trajectory of global economics for decades to come. As the founder and CEO of BlackRock, he leads the world's largest asset management company, with assets exceeding $14 trillion USD at the end of last year.

For context: BlackRock's assets surpass the GDP of any country except the U.S. and China. And all of this is steered by Larry Fink!

Today, Fink, who has long preferred to stay out of the public eye, finds himself in the spotlight.

So, there is no other way. It's not a future that's coming, it's a big transformation that's already underway. Totally. And whoever can ride the wave that's tearing down the old world order will remain in the driver's seat. That's why those who have avoided the sunlight for centuries have started emerging from the shadows.

Larry Fink is not a very flashy public figure, but he's a serious heavyweight. He can beautifully connect the interests of the Trump administration with massive capital, and he's already doing that, a Russian financier and asset manager at the International Private Investment Fund, Alexander Duchkin, said. He has enormous administrative resources, he has excellent connections with both the administration and the financial circles, at the very top, because he is a co-founder of the world's largest asset management company...

The key shift happened in 1988 when Fink, along with his partners, founded BlackRock with the support of Blackstone Group. Initially, the company focused on risk management and fixed income, but under Fink's leadership, it transformed into a global player with a diversified portfolio.

Our purpose is to help clients achieve their financial goals in any economic cycle. This requires not only skill, but also courage to stay true to our principles, - the words spoken by Finck at the World Economic Forum in Davos in 2026, essentially became the company's motto, by which it has been guided for over 30 years since its founding.

In the 2000s, Finck's team entered the markets of India and China, Europe and Latin American countries, becoming a significant player in the global financial market. During the global financial crisis of 2008-2009, when many pillars of the banking sector collapsed, with their reputation and history, BlackRock was engaged by the U.S. Department of the Treasury to manage troubled assets (TARP program). This strengthened the company's reputation as a "reliable partner" in crisis situations.

Then it became the first official collaboration between the company and the US authorities. But by no means the last. In 2020, the Federal Reserve System chose BlackRock to purchase government and corporate bonds and mortgage-backed securities, for which the company was allocated unlimited funds; the bond-buying program was aimed at reducing the economic damage from the coronavirus pandemic.

And today, when BlackRock has over 100 offices in more than 30 countries, Larry Fink not only decided to take over the agenda of the World Economic Forum, becoming its interim co-chair and proposing to move the event from quiet Switzerland to another location, thus knocking the chairs out from under the European business elite. But he also joined the negotiation process on Ukraine.

As in December 2025 reported by the news agency Bloomberg, one of the world's richest financiers joined Donald Trump's team to discuss plans for Ukraine's recovery and is participating in negotiations. He tried to create a similar fund a year ago, but the process stalled because investors were not found to invest in the former Soviet republic amid active combat and without guarantees.

BlackRock's top management has been in contact with the Ukrainian administration since 2023, planning funds, structures, systems, and architecture for the country's future recovery program. Today, this program is estimated at a substantial $800 billion USD, to be led by Larry Fink. However, according to Finland's President Stubb, the reconstruction plan for Ukraine still exists only on paper, with no real funds created. But with such individuals involved, things will move forward.

The only question is: where?

Inflation, geopolitical tensions, and technological shifts create a complex environment. But precisely during such periods, smart investments create the greatest value, Larry Fink stated in an interview with Financial Times in 2025.

It seems that in the eyes of the Western establishment, Ukraine is not a goal but a battlefield. Or a tool to make a profit...

Ukraine, as subsequent events have shown, is only the beginning.

Subsequent events: On January 3rd - the bloodless takeover of Venezuela and on February 28th - the beginning of aggression in the Persian Gulf are clearly shaping the global political-economic narrative.

S. Dragans:

Judging by the history of his (Larry Fink's) activities, there are theories that the 2008 crisis was man-made and not without his involvement. And here (in spring 2026), I see a high probability that he will intervene in this market plot.

(Continuation of the topic in part 2 follows)