Trump Secured Greenland
Forecast: “Venezuela. Maduro. Truth and Lies. Forecast of Developments” (published January 7, 2026, link)
S. Dragan:
Greenland may become a target of global change toward the end of April 2026. But this will still require analysis…
The subject of Greenland becoming a future constituent part of the United States was voiced by D. Trump at the very beginning of his second presidential term. It would appear in the media space, then seemingly “fade into the shadows” again. In early spring 2026, after the start of the war in the Persian Gulf, D. Trump hardly mentioned his claims to the glacial island. But from the end of April 2026, the topic of Greenland became relevant again.
In the confirmation “Greenland: A Target of Global Change. Spring 2026,” dated July 21, 2026, it was noted that Trump had not abandoned his idea of “adding” Greenland to the sphere of vital U.S. interests and effectively becoming the “administrator” of this largest island on Earth, which holds crucial geopolitical and economic importance.
As foreseen “from the end of April 2026,” the United States intensified its political-diplomatic, socioeconomic, and coercive measures to compel the Danish government and Greenlandic administration to sign the agreement needed by Washington. This took less time than expected, and the document was eventually signed on September 19, 2026.
This agreement grants the United States permanent military rights in Greenland and prohibits Washington’s adversaries from establishing bases there without its approval. Trump also announced the construction of two American bases.
U.S. President Donald Trump, Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, and Greenlandic Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen signed an agreement on Greenland’s security.
“This agreement recognizes that we are a people entitled to self-determination. At the same time, it recognizes that we are part of our shared security in the Arctic,” the Greenlandic prime minister stated.
Frederiksen, in turn, called the agreement between the United States, Denmark, and Greenland “good” for the countries that signed it, as well as for NATO and Europe. “The agreement strengthens our common defense and security,” she noted.
Trump announced the conclusion of the agreement granting the United States permanent military rights in Greenland on September 19, 2026. The arrangements also prohibit Washington’s adversaries from establishing military bases there and making “sensitive investments” without written U.S. approval.
In addition to military benefits, the United States gained a number of significant economic advantages from the agreement with Greenland.
Economic Benefits for the United States
Access to the island’s natural resources. The agreement provides Americans with a favorable position for accessing Greenland’s natural resources and prohibits the military presence on the island of states that are not NATO members.
The opportunity to develop rare-earth deposits. Immediately after the agreement was announced, the American company Greenland Mines applied for a new license to develop rare-earth deposits in Sarfartoq, in southwestern Greenland.
Development of new trade routes. Due to the active melting of glaciers, the length of the Arctic shipping season is steadily increasing, potentially making Greenland a key transit hub for global trade.
An advantage in the competition for the natural resources of the Arctic shelf. According to scientists’ estimates, a quarter of the world’s undiscovered oil and gas reserves are located beyond the Arctic Circle.
At the same time, the agreement restricts the island’s access to foreign investment in sensitive sectors of the economy, including rare-earth mineral extraction. Only member states of the North Atlantic Alliance, its partners, and EU members will be able to invest in Greenland.
Analyzing all the events surrounding the “ice island” as a whole, one comes to the conclusion that at the end of spring 2026, “Greenland indeed became a target of global change.”
For Russia, the specific provisions of the future document will be of fundamental importance: whether the United States will obtain new rights to build bases, what weapons and surveillance systems may be deployed there, how the use of airspace will be regulated, and who will make decisions on admitting foreign investors.
In particular, there is as yet no confirmation that the September agreement provides for the deployment of new missile defense systems or other specific types of weapons in Greenland.
At the same time, Greenland is already part of the American early-warning system for missile attacks, and its geographical location matters for military activities in the Arctic and the North Atlantic. The new agreement creates opportunities to expand existing American infrastructure, but its actual consequences will depend on further implementation.
As a result, a situation arises in which Greenland formally remains part of the Kingdom of Denmark, while the United States obtains treaty-based opportunities to further expand its military presence.
For Russia, the question is not who formally owns the island now, but what additional geopolitical, geoeconomic, and military capabilities the United States will gain in close proximity to strategically important areas of the North Atlantic and the Arctic.
Legally, Greenland remains part of Denmark, but in practice the United States has become the full-fledged master of this land. The implementation of the Monroe Doctrine, concerning Washington’s subordination of the countries of the entire Western Hemisphere, continues.
“But this, as S. Dragan emphasizes, will still require analysis…”
To be continued…
