Unexpected twists in aviation communication
Forecast: «Outlines of the Global Future» (Published on February 9, 2026, link)
S. Dragun:
But this time (March - April) can still bring the most unexpected twists regarding aviation communication issues...
As S. Dragun predicted:
Spring this year...
...brought the most unexpected twists regarding aviation communication issues...
The energy crisis in Europe was sparked by the US-Iran war that began on February 28, and disruptions in oil supplies from the Persian Gulf countries.
The war with Iran significantly restricted, and in many countries, completely eliminated civilian air travel in the Persian Gulf region.
But the most «unexpected twists in aviation communication» globally emerged a little later due to aviation fuel shortages.
April 3, 2026 - European airlines began canceling flights due to the fuel crisis, its shortage and high cost linked to the conflict in the Middle East and Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz. This is according to the publication Politico.
«There is growing concern that if Iran continues to block the Strait of Hormuz, airlines will resort to significant route cuts, cancellations, and fare increases», - the article states.
It is reported that a large number of fuel supplies from the Persian Gulf countries are handled by the UK. For instance, London's Heathrow Airport has already started canceling flights due to the high cost of jet fuel, and the Scandinavian Airlines System (SAS) has decided that around a thousand flights will not be operated. It is known that Air France, the French flag carrier, has increased fares for long-haul routes, while the largest European airline, Lufthansa, has prepared a contingency plan in case fuel shortages do affect them. Finnair, on the other hand, has warned customers of imminent price changes due to the crisis.
"Passengers face higher ticket prices and additional fuel surcharges, and some routes are changing to avoid certain airspaces. All of this further increases costs," said aviation economist Wouter De Vulf.
Earlier, Vietnam and Philippine airlines began cutting flights due to fuel shortages. They also called on authorities for more support for the aviation sector.
As of April 16, 2026, the International Energy Agency (IEA) stated that Europe has enough aviation fuel for six weeks. Russian companies do not see fuel shortages in foreign airports, although they note a sharp price increase. But experts confirm the risk of flight reductions in Europe.
IEA chief Fatih Birol told Associated Press that Europe has enough aviation fuel for about six weeks.
Since March, Birol has been stating that this situation is comparable to the oil shocks of the 1970s and the 2022 gas crisis. "Not just oil and gas, but also some vital arteries of the global economy, such as petrochemicals, fertilizers, sulfur, helium - their trade has been disrupted, which will have serious consequences for the world economy," he claimed.
According to Birol, as of mid-April 2026, over 40 energy facilities had sustained significant damage since the start of military operations.
Europe's strategic aviation fuel reserves may be insufficient to support flights during the peak summer season in several regions, according to Corriere della Sera as of mid-April 2026, citing sources among aviation fuel suppliers and EU airlines.
S. Dragen:
By the way, very serious problems with aviation... will be observed already from the end of April 2026
